The index looks calm. The single-stock tape does not.
SPX is sitting near highs, VIX is quiet, and implied correlation is priced as if none of the fires inside the building can reach the hallway. Underneath, the options market is telling a different story.
Individual stocks inside the index are being priced as if many of them have their own private fire alarms going off. VIXEQ is near 48.88 โ close to record territory โ while index volatility is still priced for a nap. The gap between single-stock volatility and index volatility is now roughly 33 points, the widest disconnect in the history of the series. COR1M, the implied correlation measure, is sitting near 4โ5 โ essentially the mathematical floor. The S&P 500 rallied 0.72% on Monday and VIX fell to 15.56. SPX traded in a narrow range overnight, with a reference area of roughly 7510โ7550 and SPX near 7525 around 8:00 AM ET. Samsung earnings disappointed in pre-market and spilled into the semiconductor space. FOMC Minutes are tomorrow, Wednesday July 08; CPI is Friday.
Gobble's Take: Single-stock volatility is near record highs while index volatility stays low โ implied correlation is at the floor, with FOMC Minutes tomorrow and CPI Friday.
Source: Doc McGraw โ $SPX Trading / Options Gelt
Lockheed Martin is leading a $3.5 billion race to own the underwater battlefield
Lockheed Martin is reportedly out front in the roughly $3.5 billion acquisition race for Ultra Maritime, a naval defense firm specializing in anti-submarine radar, electronic warfare, and torpedo defense technology. Ultra is currently owned by private equity firm Advent International.
Gobble's Take: Anti-submarine radar and torpedo defense โ Lockheed isn't window shopping, it's buying the whole hardware store.
Source: Perplexity Search (community news)
In Case You Missed It
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